Why Jim Cramer Is Wrong About Ondas Stock

Why Jim Cramer Is Wrong About Ondas Stock

Jim Cramer just slammed Ondas Holdings on CNBC, calling it a meme stock during his Lightning Round. If you're holding ONDS or looking at the drone sector, that headline probably made you wince. Cramer has a massive megaphone, and when he tells the Mad Money audience to stay away from a stock because it's driven by internet hype rather than fundamentals, retail money tends to panic.

But Cramer is missing the bigger picture here. He's looking at the recent price swings and social media chatter and slapping a lazy label on a company that is actually booking real business. Ondas isn't just another speculative shell company riding a retail wave. It's a company with expanding infrastructure contracts, massive defense backlogs, and actual hardware deployed in the field.

If you want to understand what's really happening with Ondas stock, you have to look past the lightning round soundbites.


The Actual Financials Behind the Retail Noise

Let's clear up the biggest misconception right away. True meme stocks have cratering revenues, no path to profitability, and stay alive solely by diluting shareholders to cash in on Reddit trends. Ondas doesn't fit that bill.

Look at the hard data from their Q1 2026 earnings report. Ondas brought in $50.1 million in revenue for the quarter. That isn't a small bump. It's a massive 1,079% increase compared to the same period from the previous year. Companies don't accidentally grow revenue by four digits because of internet memes. They do it by executing on orders.

The growth is being driven by two main pillars: private wireless networks for critical infrastructure and autonomous drone systems. The company entered 2026 with an order backlog sitting at $457 million. Wall Street firms aren't blind to this either. Analysts from firms like Stifel and Needham have maintained buy ratings on the stock, with some forecasting a path toward $390 million in total revenue for full-year 2026.

Does the stock have high short interest? Yes, it has hovered near 30% to 40% at times. Does that attract retail traders looking for a short squeeze? Absolutely. But a high short interest doesn't automatically mean a business has zero substance.


Why the Drone and Defense Sector Is Coiling

The global defense and industrial drone markets are changing fast. Oppenheimer recently put out a projection showing the global drone sector expanding from a $45 billion industry to a staggering $400 billion market over the next decade.

Ondas operates directly in this sweet spot through its autonomous systems and counter-drone technology. Governments and industrial rail giants aren't shopping for memes; they are shopping for secure data networks and automated aerial surveillance.

  • Rail Infrastructure: Ondas has spent years building out its data communications platforms for major North American railroads. These are long-term, sticky enterprise contracts.
  • Defense Spending: Military budgets are shifting heavily toward loitering munitions, autonomous reconnaissance, and counter-UAS platforms. Ondas' systems are actively positioned to capture these government allocations.

When a small-cap stock sits at the intersection of surging defense spending and automated industrial tech, institutional money starts flowing in. Right now, institutional ownership in Ondas sits at roughly 65.5%. Vanguard and Van Eck have been building major positions over the last few quarters. Wall Street institutions don't buy two-thirds of a company if it's just an internet joke.


Managing the Real Volatility Risks

I'm not saying Ondas is a risk-free slam dunk. It's a high-beta stock, meaning it moves fast and fluctuates wildly. The stock has been consolidating in the $9 to $11 range, and its historical charts show plenty of double-digit weekly drops.

The main risk isn't internet hype; it's execution risk. When you have a $457 million backlog, your biggest hurdle is turning those orders into delivered products and recognized revenue without burning through your cash reserves. If manufacturing bottlenecks hit or government contracts get delayed, the stock will take a beating. That's a legitimate operational risk that every small-cap investor needs to weigh carefully.


Your Next Steps With ONDS

If you're trying to figure out what to do with Ondas stock after Cramer's latest comments, don't trade on emotion or single-sentence TV analysis. Here is how you should handle it.

First, check the cash burn versus the backlog conversion rate in the upcoming quarterly reports. You need to see that $457 million backlog actively converting into recognized revenue.

Second, watch the $9 support level on the charts. If the institutional floor holds during this post-Cramer dip, it shows that big money is ignoring the television noise and protecting their positions.

Third, keep your position size reasonable. Treat this as a high-growth defense and tech play, not a lottery ticket. Ignore the short squeeze noise on social media and focus purely on whether the company meets its $170 million to $180 million revenue guidance for the year.

IB

Isabella Brooks

As a veteran correspondent, Isabella Brooks has reported from across the globe, bringing firsthand perspectives to international stories and local issues.